Sweet swell may stay, but the weather's not cooperating
OUR friends down south in Sydney and the Illawarra have been getting utterly flogged by an East Coast low.
We up here have been treated to one of the sweetest weeks for waves we've had in quite some time. Day in, day out we've been treated to sunshine with clean offshore overhead beach breaks.
It's not been hard to find something decent to ride if you've had the time.
There's been waves and perfect weather all over the place, the easterly swell and westerly winds have seen to that.
But the weekend is not looking quite so bright, we may still get swell, but it looks like the run of good weather has come to an end.
Yesterday that ECL down south finally relented from its battering of the south coast and motored north at speed.
It's swung the swell from east towards the southeast. There was a spike in swell size as the system passed on Thursday and a following east to southeast swell train in its wake.
But it's also brought onshore moisture-laden winds with the potential for plenty of rainfall with it. Bottom line, yes we will most likely have waves.
But very few choices to get out of the wind, so expect congested crowds where it's clean, and bet on it being cold grey and wet.
As we all know ECLs are notoriously unpredictable systems, if this one turns around and comes back at us, well then it's anyone guess what could happen.
However if it holds its course we can expect this weekend to run as follows.
Swell: E/SE 2-2.5m abating during Saturday and levelling out around 1.5-2m with a more S/SE direction on Sunday.
The winds should be predominantly S/SE all weekend, fairly light around the 10-15kt range. But if the ECL turns or stalls near us we can expect a lot more wind than that.
The one thing that's looking the most definite right now is rain, and plenty of it.
So factor that into your plans, because even if we do get some sunshine, there will be squalling showers nearby.
Remember to have fun, wait your turn, and surf today like you want to surf again tomorrow.
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